Jason Hay
Papers
2
Total Citations
48
H-Index
2
About
Dr. Jason Hay is a leading voice in technology forecasting and strategic planning for human spaceflight. His research focuses on the methodologies that underpin accurate technological predictions and the complex processes required to mature exploration systems for long-duration missions. Dr. Hay’s most influential work, “An examination of factors affecting accuracy in technology forecasts” (2012), which has garnered 43 citations, provides a critical framework for understanding why some forecasts succeed while others fail, directly impacting how agencies evaluate emerging technologies. He is also recognized for his key contribution to “Implementing NASA’s Capability-Driven Approach,” a seminal paper (2015) that offers an insider’s perspective on NASA’s strategic shift from targeted missions to a sustainable, pioneering model for deep space exploration. By analyzing the agency’s processes for maturing exploration systems, Dr. Hay’s work helps bridge the gap between high-level strategic goals and the practical, technical steps needed to achieve a permanent human presence beyond low Earth orbit. His research is essential reading for anyone interested in the intersection of foresight, policy, and the engineering of humanity’s future in space.
Research Focus
Key Achievements
Top Papers
- 1An examination of factors affecting accuracy in technology forecasts43 citations · 2012
- 2