Jari Kaivo oja
Papers
1
Total Citations
11
H-Index
1
About
Jari Kaivo-oja is a Finnish futures researcher whose work sits at the intersection of technology foresight, innovation studies, and strategic management. His research focuses on identifying and analyzing emerging technologies, with a particular emphasis on ICT developments and their long-term societal implications. Among his most recognized contributions is a longitudinal analysis of the Gartner Hype Cycle spanning 2008 to 2017, in which he and his colleagues systematically evaluated 151 ICT technologies using six distinct index methodologies — including ranking and technology power indices — to help organizations and policymakers identify future technology winners and navigate uncertainty. This work, which has garnered 11 citations, exemplifies his broader commitment to developing rigorous, data-driven frameworks for technology assessment and weak signal detection. Kaivo-oja is affiliated with the Finland Futures Research Centre and is widely recognized in the futures studies community for bridging quantitative analytical methods with scenario planning and strategic foresight. His contributions are particularly valuable for scholars and practitioners seeking to understand how transformative technologies emerge, evolve, and ultimately reshape industries and societies over time.
Research Focus
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Top Papers
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