Sensitivity Analysis of Dynamic Line Rating for ACSR Conductors using IEEE-738

Abstract

Dynamic Line Rating (DLR) is a novel technique that enhances the utilization of transmission line capacity. It is nevertheless unclear how much measurement uncertainty in important environmental parameters affects the DLR calculation. Using the IEEE-738 standard, this paper presents a systematic parametric sensitivity analysis of DLR for a 795 kcmil ACSR Drake conductor. The DLR computation encompasses 832 operating points which includes daytime/nighttime solar scenarios, clear/non-clear atmospheric clearness conditions, wind speeds ranging from 0 to 15.25 m/s, and ambient temperatures between 15 and 50 degrees Celsius. According to sensitivity analysis, wind sensitivity tends to decrease at higher ambient temperatures, whereas temperature sensitivity tends to increase with wind speed. Pearson correlation analysis indicates a strong negative linear association between DLR and ambient temperature, and a strong positive linear association with wind speed. A regression model incorporates both individual and interactive effects of wind and temperature, and explains over 93% of the observed DLR variability across all cases. Finally, the observations serve as a guide for operational planning and uncertainty assessment in DLR-based transmission systems.