Robust Positioning, Preliminary Orbit Determination, and Trajectory Prediction of Space Debris using In-Space Iterative-Bearing-Only Observations

Abstract

This paper is concerned with the preliminary localisation, orbit determination and model-based path forecasting of space debris based on a robust procedure. In this work, an in-orbit observer utilises only relative bearing observations iteratively. To this end, the problem is first formulated in order to calculate the distance vector between the space debris and any orbiting observer. Afterwards, the obtained position vector is corrected through an Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) for shrinking the sensor and process errors and increasing robustness of the computations in the presence of uncertainties. After preliminary positioning, the related classical orbital elements are acquired via the predicted position and velocity vectors using a hybrid technique. Extensive simulations demonstrate the efficacy and robustness of the aforementioned method, and in particular it is verified that the proposed scheme is capable of producing a suitable solution for preliminary localisation and orbit determination of space debris based on the presented space-based observation, which is practical in phasing and chasing manoeuvres of any grabber space robot.