Staging Accuracy and Prognostic Value of Prostate-Specific Membrane Antigen PET/CT Strongly Depends on Lymph Node Tumor Burden

Abstract

Objectives: To explore the factors affecting the lymph node metastasis (LNM) detection performance of prostate-specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PSMA PET/CT) and to evaluate its prognostic value for biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy (RP). Methods: Patients who had intermediate- or high-risk prostate cancer and underwent robot-assisted (RA)RP between 2017 and 2021 were included. Initial lymph node staging was carried out using PSMA PET/CT. Sensitivity, specificity, and positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive values were calculated. A cut-off value for LNM tumor deposit size that maximizes specificity was investigated and a post hoc specificity analysis was carried out. In survival analysis for biochemical progression-free survival (bPFS) after RP, Kaplan–Meier curves of molecular imaging (mi)N0 and miN1 patients were compared using the log-rank test and separate Cox regression models were developed to reveal the significance of PSMA PET/CT staging in pre- and post-surgery settings. Results: In 583 patients with a prevalence of pathology-proven LNM of 27.4%, overall sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of PSMA PET/CT per patient were 26.3% [95%CI 18.9–35.5], 93.9% [95%CI 84.9–100], 61.8% [95%CI 44.5–83.5], and 77.1% [95%CI 69.7–85.1], respectively. PSMA PET/CT showed a better sensitivity as LNM tumor deposit size increased (p = 0.003 OR 2.4 [95%CI 1.3–4.4]) and a better specificity in pT3-4 tumors (96.1%) versus pT2 (91.1%, p = 0.024 OR 2.7 [95%CI 1.1–6.3]). After adjustment according to 5.5 mm LNM tumor deposit size, which showed the best discriminative performance (AUC: 0.905 [95%CI 0.804–1.000, p < 0.001]), overall sensitivity tripled (90.2%, p < 0.001). The 1-year bPFS was 56.0% and 83.3% for miN1 and miN0 patients, respectively (p < 0.001). Whereas miN0pN1 was not, miN1pN1 disease was independently associated with decreased bPFS (HR:2.1 95%CI 1.3–3.4, p < 0.001). Conclusions: PSMA PET/CT has a lymph node tumor burden-dependent and cohort-driven diagnostic ability but consequently a strong independent prognostic value for predicting biochemical recurrence after RARP.