Identification of risk factors and clinical model construction of abdominal distension after radical cystectomy

摘要

Background: The occurrence of abdominal distention after radical cystectomy (RC) is common. We sought to determine risk factors of abdominal distention after RC, and to establish a simple and reliable nomogram for clinical risk assessment. Methods: Clinical information on 139 patients who underwent RC from January 2020 to August 2021 was collected. The chi-square test, hypergeometric test, and univariate/multivariate logistic regression were utilized to explore the relationship between variables and abdominal distention after RC. A nomogram was then used to predict the probability of abdominal distension for the patients who underwent RC. Calibration and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the accuracy of the model. Results: We found that 35 patients (25%) occurred in abdominal distention after RC. Among the patients, 7 of them developed intestinal obstruction. Postoperative water fasting time and abdominal surgery history were independent risk factors for abdominal distension after surgery. Finally, we constructed a risk model to predict the probability of abdominal distension after surgery. This model showed good fitting and calibration and excellent diagnostic performance with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.804. Conclusions: Postoperative water fasting time and abdominal surgery history were independent risk factors for abdominal distension after surgery. There was no significant difference in the incidence of postoperative abdominal distention between robot-assisted cystectomy and laparoscopic cystectomy.